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2025 Commerce Trust Economic & Market Midyear Outlook

Papers/ResearchCommunity

Cooling Economy  |  Counting on Resilience
 

The economic momentum seen at the start of the year did not last after a collision of headwinds quickly transformed the market. As we watch impacts of the tariffs play out alongside rising inflation and a diminishing dollar, recession risk looms, but may be kept in check for now.
 
The United States’ status as a safe haven for global capital has come under scrutiny. Equities are facing a challenging environment with sustained market volatility and a pullback in consumer spending. Each new headline puts fixed income markets on notice as traders react with moves aimed to reduce their risk. Investors are flocking to alternatives such as gold, or looking to hedged equities seeking protection from downsides in a volatile market.

READ THE REPORT
 
This summary is intended to provide general information only and may be of value to the reader and audience.
 Past performance is no guarantee of future results. This material is not a recommendation of any particular investment strategy, is not based on any particular financial situation or need and is not intended to replace the advice of a qualified tax advisor or investment professional. While Commerce may provide information or express opinions from time to time, such information or opinions are subject to change, are not offered as professional tax, insurance, or legal advice, and may not be relied on as such.
 Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against all risk.
 Commerce Trust is a division of Commerce Bank.
Investment Products: NOT FDIC INSURED | MAY LOSE VALUE | NO BANK GUARANTEE
 Commerce Trust and Commerce Bank take the security of your account very seriously. Protecting your privacy is important to us, and we take measures to help ensure that your information remains secure. We guard against unauthorized access to customer information, and we are committed to taking the appropriate action to protect against fraud.
 Security Practices >>

2025 Commerce Trust Economic & Market Midyear Outlook